Friday, August 28, 2009

HITTING RESISTANCE

Caution at these levels required with only small caps & mid caps flying and profit booking taking in heavy weights..... trend is still up. We are now trading in narrow zone with nifty future trying to maintain its support around 4652 and hitting resistance at higher levels. Today's pivot is NF 4688 with support around 4660-4642 ..... further down in the zone 4619-4572 and resistance at 4724. This could be another flat day but will be difficult for bulls to hold.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

TOUGH FOR BULLS

Level over 4700-4750 is going to be a volatile zone with only select stocks going up. Today being settlement day for F&O , the pivot is yesterday's closing (4680) with weakness if we trade below NF 4652. ... Trade lightly as it may be volatile

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

SUPPLY ZONE

Nifty again entering the tough resistance zone .... volatility expected around this zone. Today's pivot and balancing level between Bulls and Bears is NF 4634-4642 with strength over NF 4652 and weakness below 4606. Resistance around NF 4692-4716.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

PAUSE BEFORE BIG MOVE

With strong upmove and market breadth, market likely to take a pause here. Gap up zone of sensex 15362-15268 should hold for upmove. Today's pivot is NF 4630- 4637 with resistance around 4673-4695; support around 4609-4585. Nifty holding this area since last three months.... is it consolidation or distribution need to be watched??

Monday, August 24, 2009

SETTLEMENT WEEK

Shorts being covered on every dip last week, nifty is poised for positive settlement. Levels for this week are NF 4474-4540-4608-4650. NF 4596-4626 likely to offer resistance and support remains around 4474-4422.
With strong global cues, nifty future will open gap up and then decide its course. NF has to stay over 4560-4578 for momentum to continue.

Friday, August 21, 2009

SIDEWAYS MOVE

Range still remains the same. Pivot for today is NF 4467 with first support in the zone of 4438-08 .... strength only if trades over NS 4424 . Break of 4424 can make it retest its lows. Resistance around NF 4474-4497. Market likely to follow weak global cues.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

STUCK IN A RANGE

Range now could be NS 4555-4495-4424. Break out either side could give big move however watch NF 4351 for stoploss for all longs.Pivot for today is NF 4442 with resistance at 4492-4529; support in the zone 4417-4380. For strength NF has to trade over 4424.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

GLOBAL MARKET TUMBLES

India too participated in the global sell off breaking all supports and testing the previous low. By today's selling, hourly charts will be in oversold. Pivot for today is NF 4412 with support around 4333-4319-4293. For strength NF has to trade over 4454. Break of previous lows can take us to 4200 levels in coming days.

Monday, August 17, 2009

RANGE BOUND

Nifty is expected to be range bound as long as NS 4430 is maintained. Weekly S/R is NF 4516 and first support around 4409-4425 with resistance in range of 4650-4682. Watch Gap up zone in sensex 15213-15055.
Today is the gap down day with support around NF 4521-4489. ... strength only over NF 4579

Friday, August 14, 2009

BULLS BACK AGAIN

Bulls showed their strength by retaining the gains of the gap up and surpassing all resistances. Today could be day of consolidation after a strong upmove. Pivot and support for the day is NF 4582-86 with resistance around 4641-4652. FII's turned buyers yesterday and market breadth was excellent.... daily indicators turning positive. For rally to stay positive NF has to stay over 4510 and preferably 4542-52.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

REVERSAL DAY

Yesterday, Nifty gave a false break down but reversed immediately trapping the shorts. Now, the trading range is 4417-4484-4551. Swings to overcome is 4510 and 4560 . For today the pivot and major support is NF 4426 and has to trade over 4494 and preferably 4528 for strength and momentum to continue. Only major concern is FII's were still sellers in yesterday,s trade. With strong global cues, Nifty likely to open with gap up .... but will that sustain is to be seen....

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

SUPPORT UNDER THREAT

Yesterday, the support was held and could rally till NF 4515. With the Asian markets showing negativity, the monthly pivot of NF 4400 may be under threat. Watch NS 4380... break of that will call for more shorts as next weekly support is around 4335-4294. Today's pivot is NF 4459 with support around 4400-4382. NF has to trade over 4426 for any upmove. Strength only over NF 4497. Daily indicators are still negative.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

SWINE FLU & DRAUGHT FEARS.......

Yesterday , NS 4420 was broken in last hours of trade.... Next level to watch is NS 4380. For today, if we trade over NF 4382 then we can target 4454- 4470 and strength coming only over 4514 Break of 4382 has support in the zone 4338-4326. Daily indicators are still negative... Any upmove will be just a bounce...

Monday, August 10, 2009

WEEKLY TECHNICALS

Last week, Nifty Future could not stay over 4715 and corrected upto 4465 which is also 20 DMA. Daily RSI is around 50 which is a neutral zone and bounce can take place. For this week, the pivot and first resistance is NF 4554-4559. NF has to stay over 4560 for first target 4627-4652. However, it is weak if trades below 4505 for retest of lows...or support around 4408-4387. Caution advised on break of NS 4420 as it will lead to further unwinding by bulls. Monthly pivot is NF 4406.

Friday, August 7, 2009

JERK DOWN

Overbought in Daily charts and inability to stay over 4715 led to market reversal. Now, the resistance is Nf 4620-4628 with support in the zone 4532-4474. Market likely to be subdued till 12th August due to NHPC IPO which opens today. Daily charts are negative while weekly indicators still positive. Monthly Pivot is NF 4400-4420.

Thursday, August 6, 2009

CONSOLIDATION

Last two days have been range bound trading with only select stocks moving.. RIL,ONGC,Infosys holding the nifty. Daily indicators have almost reached over bought but weekly showing some more room for way up. Caution is the key at these levels .... Today's bullish level is NF 4678-4683 and bearish below 4652-4648 . Only a decisive crossover and close over NF 4715 will decide the uptrend.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

STRONG MOMENTUM TIRING OUT...

First weekly target of Nf 4738 almost achieved. Now, the next level to watch is NF 4779-4840 as by that time we will be overbought in hourly charts. For today, the pivot is NF 4682-4686 for target 4747-4759 and resistance around 4779-4786... support now has moved up to 4641-4649. With this move we will retrace 61.8% of the total fall.

Saturday, August 1, 2009

MONTHLY TECHNICALS FOR AUGUST SERIES

With the highest closing for this month , Nifty will now be entering strong resistance zone with supply coming at every high level. Monthly cycle suggests August Month to be bearish.

Pivot for this month is NF 4406 with bullishness as long as we sustain over NF 4705 and bearishness below 4565. First Strong resistance around NF 4793-4899 and Support 4320-4210-4134.

For this week, Pivot and support is NF 4563-4576. Bearish below 4612 and bullish over 4662 f0r target 4709-4738 and strong resistance around 4781-4840. Support for this week is 4494-4474 and free fall below 4420.